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A team of atmospheric scientists has developed a better method for predicting the number of hurricanes in an upcoming season. The team’s new model improves the accuracy of seasonal hurricane forecasts for the North Atlantic and the Gulf of Mexico by 23 percent. Until about the late 1990s, the existing models did a good job of predicting how many hurricanes would occur each year.
However, in the 21st century the number of hurricanes per season became more variable, with 15 occurring in 2005 but only two in 2013.Image credit: NOAA
